Read below for Red Dot's assessment of the Sri Lanka
political situation. You can also click on the logos
above for Sri Lanka news from the BBC and for the updated
advice from the British Foreign Office.

Last updated: May 5, 2008
Dear Red Dot traveller,
In common with tens of thousands of holidaymakers to Sri
Lanka, we continue to believe fervently that Sri Lanka
provides a wonderful holiday opportunity. This beautiful
land of tropical beaches, cultural sites, game parks and
stirring hill country can be visited with minimal risk
and offers exceptional value. Red Dot’s turnover
grew by nearly 50 per cent in 2007/8 – proof that
Sri Lanka remains a viable and much-loved holiday destination.
For all the political problems afflicting the country,
statistically Sri Lanka remains one of the safest destinations
for tourists. But the terrorist war in the north and
east naturally leaves questions. This is intended to
provide some of the answers.
You may not regard us as independent witnesses, but
our main office is based in Colombo, which gives us
a day-to-day knowledge of Sri Lanka. Furthermore, our
directors also have a background in the media and understand
its tendency to combine truth with hype. Our staff has
encompassed many races and religions and retains a broad
perspective.
Our aim is to treat our travellers with respect and
provide the clear information that you deserve. We provide
clear links to BBC News and UK Foreign Office websites.
This is our analysis, as of the date at the top of the
page:
RED DOT GUARANTEES
If you chose to cancel an impending holiday because
of a perceived worsening of the security situation –
however much we may disagree with your assessment --
we voluntarily refund all recoverable costs, above and
beyond our booking conditions. Our suppliers are generally
sympathetic to such requests. Cancellation costs are
most likely to be incurred the later the cancellation,
in peak season, or if we are not kept properly informed.
We are also unique among specialist Sri Lankan companies
in offering this guarantee in our Booking Conditions:
TERRORISM AND PERSONAL SAFETY:
Your personal safety is our prime concern. If the Foreign
Office (or, in the case of non-UK travellers, the appropriate
governmental body) advises against travel to any of
the countries on your itinerary we will guarantee the
following refunds in the event of cancellation. This
clause overrides other cancellation clauses: Two months
or more before travel: 90 per cent of holiday cost.
Less than one month before travel: Minimum 85 per cent
of holiday cost. During your holiday: All recoverable
costs.
The fact that we sell directly from Sri Lanka enables
us to react rapidly towards trends. We had 170 people
in Sri Lanka at the time of the tsunami in 2004 and
have a proven ability to respond professionally and
caringly when a situation demands.
We like our holidaymakers to be informed and independently-minded.
We realise many have a long-standing affinity with Sri
Lanka and need no lectures about the political situation
in the country. We carry links to BBC news on Sri Lanka
from the home page and would encourage you to read about
the situation, whilst retaining a sense of perspective
about whether the situation is realistically going to
impact in any way upon your holiday.
LATEST NEWS
April has been a troubled month in Colombo,
and several bomb blasts have received much media attention.
From a tourist perspective, it can honestly be stated
that the travel industry continues undisturbed and Sri
lanka lovers are taking advantage of some spectacular
deals that are available in all regions of the country.
More than 20 people died when a bomb was left
by Tamil terrorists on a bus on Colombo's southern outskirts
in late April. Red Dot has advised against travel on
public transport for several months.
The Sri Lankan Highways Minister, Jayeraj Fernandopulle
was politically assassinated by a Tamil Tiger suicide
bomber on April 5, during a ceremony to mark the approach
of the Sinhala/Tamil New Year. He was killed while starting
a marathon race, 18 miles outside Colombo. He was the
second minister to be killed in 2008, following the
assassination of DM Dassanayake, the minister for nation
building, in January. Fernandopulle was a 55-year-old
Roman Catholic lawyer and a vocal critic of the Tamil
Tigers. Red Dot routinely advises that you avoid political
gatherings.
GENERAL SUMMARY
1. The Sri Lankan government began 2008 by
formally withdrawing from a moribund ceasefire agreement
with the Tamil Tiger rebels who have long been fighting
for an independent state in the north-east of the country.
The government stated that continued violence meant
that the Norwegian-brokered ceasefire had long become
redundant. Erik Solheim, foreign minister of Norway,
who have long sought to broker a peace deal, has understandably
expressed fears of worsening violence. The ceasefire
has been regarded as fraudulent by all analysts since
peace talks broke down in October 2006. It can be logically
argued therefore that there will be no material change
in the situation following the decision. That the Sri
Lankan government is now committed to trying to win
the military conflict in the north and east, however,
should be incontestable.
2. Foreign Office advice about travel to Sri
Lanka remains essentially unchanged. You can read click here
3. Colombo: Colombo, in our estimation, now
requires careful analysis from a holidaymaker or business
traveller. Security in Colombo has been stepped up and
the capital suffers from occasional terrorist attacks.
There have been eight significant bomb attacks since
November. These are habitually been targeted on political
or military figures, but they are occasionally more
indiscriminate. In early February, a suicide attack
at the Fort railway station killed eight and injured
many more. Despite all this, Colombo remains a normally
functioning city, with hotels and restaurants offering
excellent value to the traveller. Around 4,000 England
cricket fans had a trouble-free visit to Colombo during
England’s Test series against Sri Lanka in December.
You might conclude that it is merely another somewhat
troubled city in the modern world; you might prefer
to stay out of the city. It depends on your philosophy
of life. Stays in Colombo should be judged in this context.
4. Public transport: Red Dot advises against
travel on public buses in the current climate. A bomb
explosion at Dambulla’s main bus station in early
February 2008 killed 18 people, and a bus bomb in April
on Colombo's southern fringe killed 24. The Foreign
office advice also generally questions the safety record
of Sri Lankan buses. The bomb in February at Colombo
Fort railway station also leads us to warn against train
travel in and out of Colombo, although we will assist
with such arrangements if travellers confirm in writing
that they are aware of the risks involved. Our policy
on hill-country trains is unaffected. Red Dot carries
out security and safety checks on all its vehicles.
5. In November, the Foreign Office advised
against travel to Yala game park, Yala reopened in early
February following extensive security checks, but FO
advice remains not to travel. Many Red Dot travellers
still wish to visit Yala and we will consider bookings
on a case-by-case as long as clients confirm in writing
that they are aware of FO advice.
BACKGROUND
We would like to offer a brief analysis of the present
security situation in Sri Lanka following the Sri Lankan
government’s decision at the start of 2008 formally
to withdraw from the ceasefire deal with the Tamil Tigers
rebels:
1. The Sri Lankan government and the
LTTE rebels bowed to concerted world pressure by agreeing
to attend peace talks in Geneva at the end of October
2006. These broke up without agreement about how to
proceed. In the ensuing months as conflict returned
to the north and east the ceasefire agreement became
worthless in the eyes of the government, the LTTE and
foreign mediators such as the Norwegians.
2. The Government and the LTTE (Tamil
Tigers) have taken a hardline stance since the talks
broke up. The LTTE leader, Prabhakaran, has accused
the government of not seriously seeking a settlement
and has said that the continuation of military action
will leave them no alternative but to fight for an independent
Tamil state in the north and east. Fighting has since
intensified in these areas. Both parties claim to be
abiding by the 2002 Ceasefire Agreement and insist their
actions are “defensive” in motive rather
than offensive. Western observers unanimously reject
this suggestion.
3. SP Thamiselvan, the LTTE's second
in command, was killed in air raids by Sri Lankan forces
on November 2 in the Tigers' northern stronghold of
Kilinochchi. Following the death of Anton Balsingaham
in 2006, SP Thamilselvan had been the main point of
contact between the Tigers and the West, and had represented
them at abortive peace talks in Geneva. Suggestions
that he was a moderate are widely disputed. He fought
for ten years in the conflict between 1982-92 and in
mid-2007 had openly threatened to cripple Sri Lanka's
economy with targeted military attacks. His death therefore
is likely to maintain the status quo.
4. This regrettable development followed
a potentially historic accord signed in October 2006,
by President Rajapakse's ruling People's Alliance and
the second largest party, the UNP, in which they agreed
to work together towards a political settlement with
the LTTE. The agreement with the UNP sidelined the JVP,
a minority hardline nationalist party promoting a military
solution to the conflict. This promised to put the issue
of devolution in the north and east back on the agenda.
The accord unravelled in February 2007 after the government
successfully courted a group of opposition MP’s
to guarantee them a Parliamentary majority.
5. Throughout 2007, the government has claimed
a succession of military victories. It maintains that
it has now taken effective control of the Eastern Province
south of Trincomalee. The LTTE insist that they have
“tactically withdrawn” from those previously
rebel-controlled areas. The government has since also
engaged LTTE forces in the Wanni (the rebel-controlled
North), claiming they are neutralising military threats
through air raids and ground movements.
6.It is in this political and military
context that the LTTE, using two light aircraft, launched
its first air raid -- a night air raid on the Air Force
Base at Katunayake on 26 March, 2007. The aircraft dropped
explosives on the Air Force Base – which is adjacent
to the main Bandaranaike International Airport (BIA)
– killing three servicemen and injuring several
others. There was no major damage to the airport and
no civilians were involved. The main airport was closed
for less than two hours. The airport responded promptly
by suspending night-time flights after a safety review.
The air taxi service has also been suspended.
7. The increased violence and slow
progress towards a lasting power-sharing political solution
is undoubtedly a cause for concern and sadness. There
is, though, a need for perspective. The feedback from
Red Dot holidaymakers during the last year remains overwhelmingly
positive. The temporary slump in tourism in early 2007
has recovered. Red Dot bookings for 2007/8 reached record
levels.
8. Throughout the two-decade conflict,
tourists have never been targeted by terrorists by the
Tamil Tigers. There is no evidence to suggest this situation
has changed. Recent attacks have all involved carefully-specified
military targets – Habarana Navy convoy, Galle
Navy Base, Katunayake Airforce base.
9. No serious analyst expects a civil
war to break out across the entire island. Media talk
of Sri Lanka being "on the brink of civil war"
is misleading, irresponsible and the product of lazy
journalism. We regret all loss of life and personal
grief in this beautiful country. But travellers should
recognise that any prolonged fighting has taken place
in the far north and east, away from the tourist areas.
10. The UK Foreign Office upgraded
its advice in December, 2006 to record a growing risk
of targeted terrorist attacks on political and army
figures in the capital, Colombo. The overall level of
advice did not change. Two senior army figures and a
Tamil politician in favour of democratic government
have been killed and there was a failed attempt to assassinate
Gothabaya Rajapakse, the defence minister and brother
of the president. Travellers should expect to see an
increased army presence in the capital -- security checkpoints
have been increased – but otherwise Colombo operates
normally. There is no open conflict around the capital,
or indeed in any tourist area, nor is there any likelihood
of this. We believe that to equate the risk in Colombo
with the risk of a terrorist bomb in London is both
valid and helpful. Colombo remains a relatively safe
city for a traveller to walk around.
11. Red Dot stopped sales to the east
coast towns of Trinco and Arugam Bay in May 2006 and
now only offer to those travellers, such as aid workers,
who convince us that they are well versed about the
situation. We must stress that there remain no concerns
about safety in any recognised tourism areas, including
the entire Cultural Triangle and Galle. The Foreign
office advice on these areas has not changed. We draw
up every itinerary with concerns about safety and would
propose changes to itineraries if we saw the slightest
reason for concern.
12. Everybody should wish for a peaceful
solution. It is a fact, however, that for those holidaymakers
able to make intelligent assessments of the true situation
in the country, the sad return of political conflict
has come hand in hand with wonderful holiday value.
14. We like our holidaymakers to be
informed and independently-minded. We realise many have
a long-standing affinity with Sri Lanka and need no
lectures about the political situation in the country.
We carry links to BBC news on Sri Lanka from the home
page and would encourage you to read about the situation,
whilst retaining a sense of perspective about whether
the situation is realistically going to impact in any
way upon your holiday.
David Hopps & Charlie Austin
Directors, Red Dot Tours Ltd
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